The prospect of Trump withdrawing from the war with Iran while leaving the Strait of Hormuz under Iranian control would represent a profound strategic rupture with far reaching…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 31/03/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 06/04/2026 - 19:23
Introduction: The Emergence of Resilient Attritional Missile Warfare (RAMW)
Revolutions in Military Affairs (RMAs) have historically reshaped not just how wars are fought, but the broader…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 30/03/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 01/04/2026 - 08:43
Introduction
I have recently been undertaking a more detailed study of Japanese history, which is why I was particularly interested to visit the British Museum’s exhibition on the samurai. The…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 28/03/2026 - 12:00
Last Update: Fri, 03/04/2026 - 08:18
Introduction
The relationship between hubris and military defeat is as old as warfare itself. In The Art of War, Sun Tzu warned that victory depends on understanding both oneself and the enemy: “…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 27/03/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Fri, 27/03/2026 - 08:34
Introduction
In this final part of our four part series, we examine how cyclical historians evolved from interpreters of the past into practitioners of strategic foresight, in a new discipline…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 25/03/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 06/04/2026 - 19:28
Introduction.
The forgotten power of sea mines, which are among the most strategically powerful weapons in naval warfare, has been brought to the fore with the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz.…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 24/03/2026 - 08:35
Introduction
The traditional classical Newtonian worldview treated reality as local, deterministic, and linear, with the human mind understood as little more than a by-product of neural…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 21/03/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Sun, 22/03/2026 - 09:47
Introduction.
Interview Summary: David Murrin — The State of the World
Podcast Date: The Sare of It, March 6 2026
1. THE 108-112 HEGEMONIC CYCLE IS UPON US.
…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 20/03/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 30/03/2026 - 10:33
Introduction.
The ancient Chinese strategist Sun Tzu emphasised that true success in warfare depends on deeply understanding one’s enemy—their motives, beliefs, strengths and limitations—famously…
© David Murrin 2026. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |