Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Sat, 07/03/2026 - 10:03
Introduction: The Big Strategic Picture

There is now a fully developed regional war raging in the Middle East and escalating in front of our eyes. Understanding its roots, its drivers and the…

Last Update: Thu, 05/03/2026 - 08:33
Introduction.

This month, at the four-year mark, we must remember the personal cost of those at war who have been devastating Ukraine at the behest of two monsters: Putin and Xi. This war should…

Last Update: Sat, 07/03/2026 - 16:30
Introduction

Over the past few days, British sovereign territory has been attacked by Iran and remains under threat. Starmer’s response was laboriously slow and confused. The drone that hit the…

Last Update: Fri, 06/03/2026 - 10:30
Introduction.

Since the morning of 28 February 2026, we have been witnessing the eruption of a full scale regional war, with Iran at its epicentre. The American–Israeli precision air campaign…

Last Update: Thu, 05/03/2026 - 08:28
Introduction

Since the morning of 28 February 2026, we have been witnessing the eruption of a full-scale regional war, with Iran at its epicentre. The American–Israeli precision air campaign…

Last Update: Fri, 06/03/2026 - 17:58
Introduction.

For decades, Iran has prioritised the development of a large and increasingly sophisticated missile arsenal as the central pillar of its military strategy. Lacking the ability to…

Last Update: Tue, 03/03/2026 - 04:11
Introduction

With the ongoing full scale regional war in the Middle East and the ongoing war in Ukraine, Starmer and Labour should be reaching for the emergency rearmament programme. Finally,…

Last Update: Fri, 27/02/2026 - 17:48
Introduction.

Across history, a distinct group of scholars and philosophers have devoted itself to understanding why empires rise, flourish, overextend and ultimately collapse. They have been…

Introduction Image

I commend to you this excellent briefing by Chris Mellon, a highly respected former senior U.S. intelligence officer and a member…