Introduction
In Breaking the Code of History, written more than two decades ago, I warned that climate change would prove far more unstable and consequential than was then assumed. One of its…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 09/02/2026 - 08:00
Introduction
This Murrination series examines how human civilisations have historically understood their own rise and fall, tracing the evolution of thought from retrospective observation to the…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 06/02/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 11/02/2026 - 09:09
Introduction
While Thucydides famously described the trap, he did not explicitly identify the mechanism of compression that caused it to snap shut. As Athenian power grew to challenge Spartan…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 05/02/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Fri, 06/02/2026 - 18:18
Introduction: The Manchurian Penetration of Western Political Leadership
Russia’s penetration of Western political leadership is not an aberration of the post Cold War era but the logical…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 04/02/2026 - 09:00
Last Update: Wed, 04/02/2026 - 20:45
Introduction
The UK Government has rejected the parliamentary defence committee’s call for a second, sovereign UK nuclear delivery system alongside Trident—one designed to deter tactical nuclear…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 03/02/2026 - 08:00
Introduction
The battle for Ukraine has assumed a level of immobility reminiscent of the Western Front between 1915 and 1918. In Lions Led By Lions, I described how the British Expeditionary…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 02/02/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 03/02/2026 - 15:38
Introduction
Tomahawk cruise missiles have been a cornerstone of U.S. strike capability for decades. They are widely regarded as the best in breed, costing roughly $2.1 million each, ensuring…
Posted by David Murrin on Sun, 01/02/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 04/02/2026 - 10:22
Inroduction
The history of Soviet ideological subversion is not a relic of the Cold War; it is the intellectual and operational foundation of the cognitive warfare being waged against the West…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 31/01/2026 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 04/02/2026 - 12:05
Introduction
The Trump administration's newly released National Defence Strategy (NDS) represents a sharp and deliberate break from nearly eight decades of American defence policy. Framed as a…
© David Murrin 2026. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |