In an age defined by rapid geopolitical shifts, economic volatility, climate disruptions, and the resurgence of great-power competition, the psychological well-being of civilian…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 17/09/2025 - 08:00
Introduction
My theory of Polarisation: The Road to War explains that as entropy within society increases, so too does polarisation, which can be measured through rising levels of civil unrest.…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 16/09/2025 - 08:35
Last Update: Tue, 16/09/2025 - 19:09
Introduction
Last week, I attended the DSEI exhibition at Excel London and came away with a sense of hope. Inside that vast building was a vibrant European defence industry, with a proliferation…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 12/09/2025 - 08:00
Introduction
Many of our followers ask why Global Forecaster places such a strong emphasis on weapons and war. The answer is simple but profound: history consistently demonstrates that the path…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 11/09/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Sun, 14/09/2025 - 08:51
Introduction
Europe has just crossed a historic threshold in air and missile defence. The successful July 2025 test of the Aster Block 1NT interceptor in France marks the deployment of a system…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 10/09/2025 - 11:30
Introduction
In the framework of the Five Stages of Empire, systems rise and fall according to predictable patterns. During the expansion phase, societies experience a surge of lateral thinking…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 09/09/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 15/09/2025 - 09:48
Introduction
The AUKUS pact—initially a trilateral security agreement between the United States, United Kingdom, and Australia—was born in 2021 as a means of enhancing undersea warfare…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 08/09/2025 - 12:00
Last Update: Tue, 16/09/2025 - 11:10
Introduction
Further to our Murrination: UAP-USOs 15: Disclosure, Cover Ups, Congressional Hearings & Key UAP Whistleblowers, September will mark the next major push by both the US Congress…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 06/09/2025 - 08:00
Introduction
The Royal Navy currently operates eight River-class Offshore Patrol Vessels (OPVs), divided into two distinct batches:
Batch 1: HMS Tyne, HMS Severn, and HMS Mersey—primarily…
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