Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 12:50
Introduction

Having outlined the potential Chinese battle plan in  WW 86; Red Peril 55; The Battle For Taiwan and Western Pacfic. In this Murrination, we examine the proposed U.S. PACOM strategy…

Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 09:10
Introduction

Some moments in History are much bigger than others, such as Trump's Greenland Grab. A move that we have been warning he would make since Trump 5; America's New Imperialist Defensive…

Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 07:33
Introduction

For more than a decade, U.S. officials have warned that Chinese intelligence operations would increasingly blur the line between civilian activity and state-directed espionage. We…

Last Update: Fri, 16/01/2026 - 08:29
Introduction

Immigration has shaped the rise and fall of nations for centuries, yet today’s debate is often reduced to simplistic binaries: pro-immigration vs. anti-immigration. This framing…

Introduction

In the decades before 1914, Imperial Germany increasingly viewed itself as the natural hegemonic successor to the British Empire—an ascendant continental titan whose demographic…

Last Update: Wed, 21/01/2026 - 07:15
Introduction

Across Europe today, many remain complacent, believing that the war in Ukraine is distant, frozen along static front lines and unlikely to affect them directly. Some are so blind to…

Last Update: Thu, 15/01/2026 - 14:03
Introduction

The ancient Greek concept of amartia—the fatal flaw of overreaching pride that blinds leaders to reality—has today found a modern host in the far right currents of MAGA in the United…

Last Update: Mon, 12/01/2026 - 11:10
Introduction

In my Five Stages of Empire model, demographics are the primary engine of self-organisation within human social systems, driving the expansionary energy that enables civilisations to…

Last Update: Fri, 09/01/2026 - 10:50
Introduction:

Europe and the Western world are living through an extraordinary form of strategic blindness—what Global Forecaster has long defined as extinction dissonance; the collective…