Arkite Alerts Archive

Welcome to the archive of Arkite Alerts, Global Forecaster's free newsletter notifying subscribers of the latest news, podcasts, interviews, Global Trader performance reviews and more.

Arkite: the name derived from my Arkent Strategy to navigate, survive and thrive through the great shift.

Platinum Corporate Murrinations- Predictive Strings

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Designed for subscribers who already engage with our Gold tier and require a higher level of foresight to support HNWI or commercial decision-making, Platinum Predictive Strings provide early warning and real-time context as global geopolitics evolves—often at extraordinary speed.

This is open-source intelligence at its highest level, with a powerful focus on what comes next and the impacts that follow.

Subscribers receive daily emails that track the latest news linked to each Murrination. At the head of every predictive string is the Murrination image, title, and executive summary, followed by the developing evidence trail. As events progress, the accumulation of data, signals, and outcomes makes the underlying predictions and analysis increasingly clear, allowing subscribers to see not just what is happening but why it was anticipated.

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Join Murrinations Platinum Corporate- Can you afford not to know what's coming next?

SUBSCRIBE TO - Murrinations PLATINIUM

 

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Did You Heed our Warning That 125,000 Was The Bitcoin all Time Blow Off high?

 

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Last yer having been long for the Rally we called the High in Bitcoin and the Crypto Rally

We asked the question -What do Crypto coins and tulips have in common? 

And the Answer is - Tulips that were intrinsically of low value experienced a massive bubble that, when it collapsed, caused considerable suffering to the Dutch economy. Today, the crypto complex is about to fall from its highs, which will have catastrophic consequences for the US economy.

The full report for Our CIOs subscribers was in The Crypto Bubble Is Imploding In A Major Liquidity Crunch | David Murrin our wave count is as below, and tracks our shorts with tight entry points from 112,600 to current levels.

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But if you are a Professional Asset Manager subscribed to Global Trader: The Crypto Bubble Is Imploding In A Major Liquidity Crunch | David Murrin, you would not been long and instead would have been short and would have made 26X your risk.

To Learn more Engage David

Or If you are an interested member of the general public needed to know the big trends in our evermore complex world, then-

Join Murrinations Gold or Murrinations Platinum Corporate- Can you afford not to know what's coming next?

SUBSCRIBE TO - Murrinations Gold

 

 

 

 

Forces That Could Trigger WW3 (Iran, Venezuela & Taiwan) | Q&A by Catherine Cashmore

Dear Arkite,

Watch my latest Q&A with Catherine Cashmore of Land Cycle Investor:

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While most people try to ignore the tremors beneath the surface, geopolitical expert David breaks down the terrifying reality: we're living on a planet sitting atop stacked dynamite, with multiple fuses already lit. In this urgent conversation, dive deep into China's strategic compression, Putin's real endgame in Ukraine, Trump's dangerous "peace bombs" that strengthen enemies, and why Iran and Venezuela are just pieces of a much larger puzzle.

Watch Now!

Did You Sell Gold at $5520 and Buy It Back at $4500?

If you did not..... and are a Professional Asset Manager ,then you did not understand the significance of this powerful pattern.

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But if you subscribed to Global Trader: Your External CIO | David Murrin you would have done, and made 14.7X your risk.

To Learn more Engage David

 

Did You Sell Silver at $117 and Buy It Back At $73?

If you did not..... and are a Professional Asset Manager ,then you did not understand the significance of this powerful pattern.

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But if you subscribed to Global Trader: Your External CIO | David Murrin you would have done, and made 14.7X your risk.

To Learn more Engage David

Accurate Predictions On Geopoltics and Markets

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For actionable market analysis and trade ideas grounded in a uniquely accurate geopolitical perspective, you need Global Forecaster . Because we have developed a distinctive set of behavioural models that accurately predict both financial market trends and geopolitical dynamics—models that have consistently delivered exceptional results. 

These models underpinned my 20-year career as CIO of my hedge fund, Emergent Asset Management, where we achieved remarkable returns, particularly in bearish markets (e.g., +84% in 2008). However, since then, they have been considerably enhanced.

Global Forecaster-Geopolitical Predictions

David's current predictions have accurately anticipated the unfolding global paradigm shift from West to East and the rise in global conflict—a pattern he identifies as World War III, which he argues began in 2022. His track record in forecasting military events is exceptional. He predicted Russia’s invasion of Ukraine six months in advance, and then even called in advance the exact day it would begin. He has accurately mapped Israel’s military response trajectory—from its invasion of Gaza, to its destruction of Hezbollah, to the recent strikes on Iran—predicting not only their occurrence but also, in the most recent 12-day war, its onset 36 hours ahead of time. He similarly foresaw the Trump B-2 stealth bomber strike just 16 hours before it occurred.

I outline that this unfolding global conflict, aka WW3, has moved through key phases: beginning in Iraq, escalating through Iran’s war on Israel, and ultimately culminating in a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, triggering a full-scale Asian war.

David Murrin: I expect the invasion of Taiwan will come with little or no warning.
“Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defence (MND) has reported a significant and sustained increase in Chinese military operations across multiple domains near the Taiwan Strait, triggering heightened alert levels across the island. The recent surge appears to reflect a deliberate and escalatory show of force by Beijing, with both tactical and strategic dimensions.

Exercising for Invasion: The scale of PLAN exercises is that they are now the size of a real invasion force. As such, GF argues that any such exercise must be viewed as the real deal.

Understanding the CCP, the PLAN, and its new weapons and tactics has never been more important.

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Global Trader-Investment Predictions

Crucially, David’s geopolitical accuracy is matched by his macroeconomic foresight. He has long maintained a bullish stance on precious metals, a bearish outlook on the U.S. dollar, and has successfully extracted Alpha from the cryptocurrency markets. He now warns that combining a global arms race and Trump’s fiscal expansion will likely trigger a Western debt crisis. As a result, he believes the U.S. narrow bull market is at or near a significant top. His investment insights can be accessed via his publications.

The CIO Macro View

It comprises our full spectrum market strategy across all seven macro sectors defined below, which integrates all of the elements of our geopolitical perspectives (Murrinations Insights) and market views into one coherent strategy and perspective. They are updated as and when major market events provide new information, which is on average once or twice a month. This product is ideal for CIOs and Senior Risk takers to gain an external and independent perspective. Our strategies cover long and medium time frames. They are designed to be used with our Macro Trade Executions to maximise risk versus reward through short-term entry points that then cascade in the longer-term trend direction. This comprehensive product delivers our full-spectrum market strategy across all seven macro sectors outlined below. It seamlessly integrates our geopolitical insights and market perspectives into a coherent strategic framework.

Trade executions

We provide real-time entry points, stop levels, and recommended position sizes for trades aligned with the strategies outlined in our CIO’s Macro View. Our alpha-generative performance results are published quarterly, enabling clients to evaluate the accuracy of our forecasts and the quality of our returns across different sectors. New trade recommendations are delivered via email, offering timely, actionable insights. Each market sector is available for individual subscription or as part of our comprehensive Global Macro Package. The global market sectors include:

  • Commodity Markets-Precious Metals our Core investment
  • Equity Indices
  • FX
  • Cryptocurrencies
  • Bond Markets
  • Emerging Market FX and Indices

Find out More- Engage David

Now Is the Time to Join Murrinations Gold

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Now Is the Time to Join Murrinations Gold
A Message from David Murrin

When I launched Murrinations Gold in 2019, my mission was clear: to provide investment-grade geopolitical insight that cuts through the noise of an increasingly chaotic world. Over the past five years, I’ve dedicated myself to delivering high-integrity analysis—helping readers not only understand the forces shaping our era, but also to anticipate what comes next.

Today, that mission is more vital than ever.

In an age defined by misinformation and narrative manipulation, Murrinations has become a rare and trusted source of strategic clarity. True foresight doesn’t emerge from consensus—it’s built on reality-tested models of human systems, historical cycles, and a deep understanding of geopolitical and economic dynamics.

1.0 Our track record speaks for itself.
Over the past few years, we’ve made a series of highly accurate and time-sensitive predictions: Some of the Biggest have been:

  • The Pandemic: We forecast the arrival of COVID-19 three months before it hit Europe, and identified Omicron as its natural endpoint.
  • World War III: We predicted the onset of global conflict in 2022 two decades ago, including Russia’s invasion of Ukraine—six months in advance and, more precisely, a week before it occurred. We continue to track its evolution closely.
  • Middle East War: On October 8th—immediately following the Hamas massacre—we forecast the strategic phases of Israel’s campaign, from Gaza to Hezbollah. We also warned that once Iran’s proxy threats were neutralised, Israel would strike Iran’s nuclear facilities. To that end, we provided a 24-hour alert ahead of the first strike and a 12-hour warning before the US B2 bombers launched.

So, the question is no longer why follow Murrinations—but whether you can afford not to.

2.0 What’s New at Murrinations Gold?
Our core product, Murrinations Gold, has evolved far beyond its original scope. As global instability accelerates, it has become my most personal and dynamic body of work—an extension of the themes from Breaking the Code of History, updated in real time and pushed into new strategic frontiers.

We’ve enhanced the offering with the following new features:

  • Summaries and Key Predictions are included with each post for faster, clearer takeaways.
  • Weekly Digest Emails sent to subscribers—so you can catch up quickly with all the critical insights from the past week.

3.0 Introducing: Murrinations Platinum for Corporates
For organisations seeking a deeper edge, our new Murrinations Platinum corporate tier offers an expanded, bespoke advisory service. This includes:

  • Extended prediction threads linked to Murrinations Gold content
  • Strategic insights tailored for decision-makers in finance, security, and industry
  • Direct access to our team for briefings and risk assessments

Now is the moment to stay ahead—not behind and gain the foresight to navigate what’s coming.


Join Murrinations Gold or Murrinations Platinum Corporate Can you afford not to know what's coming next?

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From Special to Abusive Relationship

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Global Forecaster has argued that one of Trump’s underlying motives in his push to annexe Greenland was the deliberate weakening—if not destruction—of NATO, in line with Vladimir Putin’s strategic interests.

It is to the credit of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff that they refused to comply with what would have been an illegal order to invade Greenland. As a result, NATO still stands.

Nevertheless, the so-called “special relationship” was effectively murdered on the slopes of Davos by Trump, to the evident delight of Putin.

This was underscored when Trump openly lied by claiming that European and Canadian forces, including Britain’s, stayed “off the front lines” in Afghanistan and that the United States never truly needed allied military support.

In truth, the special relationship has been eroding for more than a decade, largely because Britain has steadily hollowed out its armed forces and, in doing so, made itself less valuable to the United States in any serious military contingency.

Now, at a point where Britain is dangerously under-defended, Trump has taken what was already a cool attitude under Biden to a new and openly hostile level through his abusive rhetoric and behaviour.

It takes a great deal to offend an entire nation, but Trump has managed to do exactly that—alienating the British and Canadian public, the people of Greenland, and much of the European NATO nations in one delusional stroke.

For Britain, the lesson is stark. We are now paying the price for years of strategic complacency by both the Conservatives and, now, Labour, and for their irresponsible refusal to invest in the defence of the British realm.

Our adversaries see us as contemptibly weak—and, for the first time in modern history, so does what was until recently our closest ally, America, whose President has now abused the courage of our fallen and wounded heroes and the suffering of their families.

The answer is clear. Social programmes will have to take second place: Britain and its NATO allies all need to impliment emergency defence rearmament programme immediately.

And as for Trump, the era of deference and “special pleading” must end, as kowtowing to a tyrant will only end in disaster.

Can you afford not to know what's coming next?

SUBSCRIBE TO - Murrinations Gold

The Red Tsunami Is Coming

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available now on Amazon and www.theredtsunami.com

 

 

The Foundation of High Probability Predictions

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Global Forecaster is not just another research, analytics, or opinion product. It is fundamentally different because its founder, David Murrin, spent three decades as a principal risk-taker—personally responsible for investment decisions, position sizing, timing, and the consequences of being right or wrong. Unlike analyst- or politician-driven models, his role required synthesising external inputs using his models for human behaviour,  probability assessments, and competing views into a single, decisive action based on future events: what to buy or sell, when to enter, and how much risk to commit.

Global Forecaster is built for that same decision-making reality. Whilst it is designed to inform debate and, at times, offer multiple hedged outcomes under many circumstances, when probabilities of outcomes are perceived to be very high, it is designed to support those who must choose and act with clear, actionable predictions.

Many ask how certainty is possible in a world that is effectively quantum mechanical, with infinite possible outcomes. The answer is straightforward: collective human behaviour. While the future may be probabilistic, human systems are not random. People operate unconsciously, repeat patterns, and move in herds. Those patterns recur across markets, politics, and conflict, and it is precisely their predictability that gives Global Forecaster its edge.

The most powerful dislocations occur when collective perceptions are moving decisively in one direction, while underlying evidence points firmly in another. At such moments, collective belief detaches from reality—until it abruptly snaps back, leaving the majority wrong-footed and exposed. Global Forecaster is explicitly designed to identify these divergence points.

Crucially, when evidence runs counter to herd behaviour, Global Forecaster does not retreat into ambiguity. It maintains analytical discipline, waiting for the inflexion point when reality reasserts itself. This applies not only to markets but also to major geopolitical shifts, political turning points, and the onset of major conflicts.

If you are looking for a service that offers a menu of probabilities, caveats every conclusion, and avoids commitment in order to remain perpetually “safe,” Global Forecaster is not for you.

If, however, you want clear identification of high-probability outcomes, grounded in deep structural analysis—and the confidence to state them plainly and decisively—then Global Forecaster is built precisely for that purpose.

 

Can you afford not to know what's coming next?

SUBSCRIBE TO - Murrinations Gold