Creating Actionable Strategies For The Future
Welcome to the archive of Arkite Alerts, Global Forecaster's free newsletter notifying subscribers of the latest news, podcasts, interviews, Global Trader performance reviews and more.
Dear Arkite,
CIO Ben Ashby is a superb Fund manager out of the senior management of JP Morgan. He has for years been a close associate of Global Forecaster. Hence I thought you would enjoy his very engaging keynote presentation taken from Henderson Rowe's Q1 Investor luncheon hosted at Raffles London.
Dear Arkite,
An interview with Canadian Prepper discussing Kondratiev waves, WWI, WWII, linear and lateral thinking and how we got to the current geopolitical situation and WWIII.
Watch Now!
Dear Arkite,
I'm happy to announce a new way to gain advice on the current and future geopolitical and financial situation facing you, with one-to-one sessions made to meet your specific needs.
Murrin One-To-One - Geopolitical & Market Insights — When You Need Them – Global Forecaster is pleased to offer a new one-on-one premium service for Asset managers and C suites. Gain exclusive, timely, tailored geopolitical and market analysis with a consultation with David to address your strategic needs and specific questions.
Dear Arkite,
Listen now to my latest interview with Catherine Cashmore of Land Cycle Investor, "Cycles, economic downturns and intense geopolitical friction":
The Kondratieff cycle represents fundamental shifts in economic power, innovation, and conflicts over resource allocation – often marking the end of an old economic order and setting the stage for a new wave of innovation and prosperity. War and major international conflicts happen in the years approaching the peak of the Kondratieff wave. David Murrin takes this analysis one step further, however. He describes the Kondratieff waves as cycles of entropy—periods characterised by increasing disorder and friction within global human social systems. While Kondratieff originally identified these as roughly 54–56-year economic cycles marked by recurring peaks of conflict, Murrin has expanded this concept to what he terms a major "war cycle," which encompasses two Kondratieff waves, totalling around 108–118 years. Murrin argues this extended cycle better captures the full rhythm of large-scale hegemonic conflicts. The peaks of these extended cycles are marked not just by economic downturns but by intense geopolitical friction, that alter the world order. And this is where we are now! In this week’s LCI interview you’ll discover...
The interview is a must-watch for anyone seeking clarity about today's chaotic geopolitical landscape and future developments.
I aim to provide early warnings of geopolitical and economic shifts, allowing leaders and the public to anticipate and navigate critical inflection points. Read More
Dear Arkite,
I'm happy to present to you a comprehensive guide to Global Forecaster and my Murrinations Insights. Understanding the Interconnected World of Global Forecaster is a thorough compilation of my work that illustrates the how, what and why behind Global Forecaster. How it came about, what my insights can be used for and why I share them with you.
The topics covered are listed below and these will help you grasp why now is the time to follow my work in full and get ahead of the oncoming storm before it's too late to change course.
1.0 - The Origins of Murrinations
2.0 - Aspirations
3.0 - Global Trader
4.0 - Global Forecaster Strategy and Future
5.0 - Our Theories
6.0 - Five Stages of Empire
7.0 - K-Wave and War Cycles
8.0 - Polarisation and the Road to War
9.0 - The Theory of Anti-Entropic Human Evolution - Lateralisation
10.0 - Escalation into WW3
11.0 - Grand Strategy
12.0 - Weapons
13.0 - COVID, AKA the Wuhan Pandemic
14.0 - Monitoring Other Countries
15.0 - Global Politics
16.0 - Science
17.0 - Finance and Markets
18.0 - Philosophy
19.0 - Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAPs)
20.0 - My Annual Predictions
I aim to provide early warnings of geopolitical and economic shifts, allowing leaders and the public to anticipate and navigate critical inflection points.
Murrinations: Your Compass In A Chaotic World
Dear Arkite,
Listen now to my latest interview on Palisades Gold Radio:
Tom Bodrovics, Palisades Gold Radio, welcomes back global forecaster and author David Murrin to discuss the significance of historical understanding for predicting complex geopolitical events and avoiding future conflicts. Murrin shares his belief in the repetition of historical patterns due to human unconsciousness, emphasizing the importance of studying history from multiple perspectives. He believes that the current geopolitical situation between the West and China/Russia could lead to World War Three, highlighting historical cycles as potential catalysts for conflict.
Talking Points From This Episode
Dear Arkite,
Season 5 of my podcast, The State Of It, is back, and you can listen now!
"In the first episode of Season 5, David and Horatio talk about the current state of the world during a tough and confusing time where much too much is going on. Get a better understanding of what's really happening in the world. We cover Trump, Tariffs, Greenland, the Gulf of Mexico, Israel and Gaza, Climate Change, China, nuclear power and much more."
Dear Arkite,
Listen now to my latest interview on the Macrocast by Forbes Tate Partners:
In this episode, the Macrocast team is joined by global forecaster and author David Murrin. Using Murrin’s international relations theories as a framework for analysis, they take a macro-level view of the U.S. economy and its role in a shifting global order. The discussion explores whether the U.S. is in decline, the impact of global conflict—from the Middle East to Ukraine—and the role of debt. The episode concludes with insights from December’s job market data.
Dear Arkite,
Today, the journey to disclosure and greater global UAP awareness is building momentum. Watch my interview with Catherine Cashmore of Land Cycle Investor to find out more:
The recently released book Imminent by Luis Elizondo exposes the incredible evidence outlined by a key government insider turned whistleblower, which is a game changer for humanity. Additionally, a further area of interest is that we note the correlation between UAPs, war, and nuclear weapons, which crosses over into the domain of the unfolding of WW3 in the current entropic pulse into 2030. In addition, the potential duration and scale of the UAP cover-up goes to the heart of the Nature of Western democratic Governments."
Our discussion is a fascinating one – and to my knowledge, the only interview David has done solely on the subject. As David stresses, it is time to move beyond merely asking, "Are they real?" Instead, we should consider deeper, more urgent questions, such as:
Dear Arkite,
Happy New Year! Let's start the year with my latest interview with Ron William of the Foundation for the Study of Cycles:
"FSC Development Director Ron William recently interviewed David Murrin, a polymath known for his blog Murrinations. His career has focussed on recurring patterns of history and using them to try and predict the future for markets and society in turbulent times. David’s advisory and speaking work is based on his direct investment experience combined with a framework that can be used to explain and qualify decisions within an investment team, aid risk assessment, and reduce biases in collective investment decisions.
Ron William, CFTe, is a market strategist and educator/mentor with more than 20 years of experience working for leading economic research and institutional firms. At his market advisory firm (RWA), his work gained industry recognition, and his market insights are featured regularly in financial media and industry publications. William is the FSC's Development Director."
Really enjoyed the interview, definitely some golden nuggets in there and made me think of a few correlations I hadn't thought about before.
@conormcg8702
The Russian K Wave has it. Mike Maloney’s stages of empire, Fourth Turning etc. Always good to hear from Mr Murrin. Especially his conversation with Grant Williams. Best conversation I’ve listened to I think forever-the one with Grant. Need better thinkers here in the UK. We simply need this kind of stuff going more mainstream tbh.
@karimpaulrajan6682
Great guest😊
@AussieCarnivoreRunner
David is truly a great intellect.
@elliskaranikolaou2550
Talk about a casually delivered way to scare the holy crap out of you. Great interview. scary conclusions.
@jobob47
I aim to provide early warnings of geopolitical and economic shifts, allowing leaders and the public to anticipate and navigate critical inflection points.
Historical patterns leading to WW1 and WW2 and our unique behavioural models all point to the fact WW3 has already started!
Britain is at a Crossroads and needs to navigate the Entropic rapids ahead and seize its opportunities. Whilst enacting a policy of ever-greater and Strategic Independence. Because the world is in an era of escalating entropy. Where the divide between democracy and autocracy fuels global instability.
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