Arkite Alerts Archive

Image

As we approach this festive season, I wish you and your loved ones peace, joy, and renewed optimism as you face the significant challenges ahead.

Christmas is a time to pause and reflect on the year that has passed and the opportunities that lie ahead. In a world of entropic change, I believe that, based on my theory of human anti-entropy, love, unity, adaptability, innovation, and resilience, underpinned by hope, guide us forward to the light.

In the face of challenges, we are reminded of the strength found in family and community, which gives us the courage to face darkness and embrace transformation.

Most importantly, let the spirit of Christmas inspire gratitude for all we have and are in this moment.

Fueling a new determination to meet the future with open hearts and minds.

May this season bring you love, clarity, compassion, and the resolve to turn uncertainty into opportunity, lighting the path to a brighter and more prosperous year ahead.

Wishing you a very Merry Christmas and a New Year filled with hope, health, and endless possibilities.

With warmest regards,

David Murrin
Global Forecaster

Dear Arkite,

I took part in Southbank Research Gold Summit 2025, and I can share with you exclusive access to my interview below:

Image

A who’s who of world renowned gold investors, experts and insiders:

I have pulled out all the stops to bring together investors and experts who are going to give you deep insight into the gold market.

Not the old news you see in the papers. Not the rumours you read online. But real market intelligence.

All told, you’ll be getting more than 125 years’ worth of combined gold investing wisdom and acumen.

And they are going to speak in plain English, no jargon or insider speak…

They all have one clear purpose: to help you understand why now is such a make-or-break time for anyone with money in gold, stocks, property or plain old savings in the bank.

Image

David Murrin on We Are Already in World War III

David Murrin is a geopolitical forecaster, advisor, and author with over three decades of experience. Transitioning to finance from an early career in oil exploration, Murrin joined JP Morgan, where he founded the European Market Analysis Group. He later co-founded Emergent Asset Management and authored Breaking the Code of History, offering insights into historical patterns that predict future geopolitical and market trends.

Watch Now

The Spotlight series is designed to introduce highly successful, unusual and – in many cases – idiosyncratic providers of independent research, data, tools and thinking. The third spotlight in the series introduces a seismologist-turned-trader, highly successful author and fund manager with a 20-plus year track record of successful geopolitical calls and significant alpha generation.

Image

Read the article in full

Dear Arkite,

Treat yourself this Christmas! Buy both Lions Led By Lions and Red Lightning and get 20% off.

Image

Lions Led By Lions

History is full of truths to be discovered. However, over the past one hundred years the greatest divergence between a story told and its reality is that of the British Expeditionary Force (BEF) during World War I.

Although popular opinion suggests that the British generals just kept battering away at the German lines in the same old fashion, with the same old results, the truth was very different.

Lions Led By Lions. Is such a good read that it should fly off the shelves in the season when we settle down to a good read on Boxing Day

Peter Harvey Dec 2019
Military Enthusiast

I thoroughly enjoyed reading Lions Led By Lions. It concisely conveyed a number of interesting interpretations of the causes and course of Britain's involvement in the First World War, and I found it thought-provoking, both historically and in terms of modest parallels. Given the impact of the First World War on Britain both financially and psychologically, your book is a timely reminder that we should pay more respect to the sacrifice of our forefathers.

Richard Hickson Oct 2019
Former British Cavalry Officer

Read more | Buy Now

Red Lightning - How The West Lost World War III To China in 2025

Since the end of the Cold War the majority of the populations of the West have lived with the assumption that World War III (WWIII) would and could never take place. However, what if an aggressive and expansive hegemonic challenger believed that the combination of the West’s collapse in collective moral fibre and resolve, coupled with the use of powerful and decisive new weapons deployed en masse, could make WWIII winnable? This is the story of how the past ten years and next five years comprise the road to war in 2025 and the moment that China mounts surprise attacks on the free world. Red Lightning then precisely details how the PLAN wins WW3 in only a few days and ends the rule of democracy globally.

 A Very Plausible and Likely Outcome - If We Keep Ignoring The Signs.

Red Lightning describes the current trajectory for the Western World. As we see the super nations such as the USA and UK crumble, a huge power shift is taking place. Is this pathway inevitable? This succinct book shows how we are running out of time.

Andrew Pancholi, UK

Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now.

'Red Lightning' is fascinating and although the author describes it as a work of predictive fiction, most of it rings eerily true. More than anything Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now, before it's too late. 

It's not fiction but truth to state that China has played the long game, and thanks to the capitulation of depraved, venal Western leaders, they have won.

Read in full here.

Karen Harradine, UK

Read more | Buy Now

Image

1.     Do you have the in-house skills to predict the market's responses as events escalate into a global war?

2.     Have you appreciated that the current conflict-escalating dynamics, which are taking place against the rising entropy of the K-wave into 2030, make de-escalation highly unlikely?

3.     Are you in denial in a state of war blindness? Much as in July 1914, we are now in an unstoppable chain reaction to a full-blown regional war in the Middle East. Yet the majority of the population of the democratic world is in total denial as to the scale of the disaster ahead.

4.     Have you accounted for the Delusional market behaviour? Similar to July 1914, the world and markets are in denial in a state of war blindness. Hence, we are not seeing reality reflected in markets. But remember, after the assignation of Archduke Ferdinand in 1914, the markets went sideways for a month, then when the first shot was fired, UK bonds fell 50%! To survive this situation, we must all shake off our shock and be prepared for the worst while only hoping for the best! So, re-read:

5.     Are you prepared for a massive oil price shock? The key immediate economic ramification will be the massive rally in oil to $150, and over the next few years $250, as the Gulf is closed to traffic by Iran, which will be the driver behind market responses. Read; The Iran-Israel War Will Drive A Major Commodity Rally.

6.     Have you factored in that China could well Initiate its war with America. In line with our predictions of a total escalation into WW3, we see a high probability that China could commence its war with America as the Middle Eastern war escalates (see Red Peril 30; Ten Reasons Why Xi Will Go To War In 2024 and Red Peril 41. American War Blindness; Part 8 Vulnerability Exposed). A key reason is an oil shock that further weakens China's economy, forcing Xi into war rather than economic collapse (see Managing Investment Risk Into A War With China).

7.     Have you done the work? Can you afford not to integrate our perspectives into your investment starter?

· An Investment Strategy For WW3: Part 1

· An Investment Strategy for WW3: Part 2 – Market Behaviour During WW1

· An Investment Strategy for WW3: Part 3 – Market Behaviour During WW2

· An Investment Strategy for WW3: Part 4 – How To Preserve Wealth

If any of the above is absent from your investment scenarios, then you would be irresponsible not to subscribe to our Market-proven alpha generation models Financial Market Forecasts | David Murrin

ENGAGE DAVID | DAVID MURRIN

Image

Dear Arkite,

We're running a great offer this Christmas! Buy both Lions Led By Lions and Red Lightning to get 20% off.

Image

Lions Led By Lions

History is full of truths to be discovered. However, over the past one hundred years the greatest divergence between a story told and its reality is that of the British Expeditionary Force (BEF) during World War I.

Although popular opinion suggests that the British generals just kept battering away at the German lines in the same old fashion, with the same old results, the truth was very different.

Lions Led By Lions. Is such a good read that it should fly off the shelves in the season when we settle down to a good read on Boxing Day

Peter Harvey Dec 2019
Military Enthusiast

I thoroughly enjoyed reading Lions Led By Lions. It concisely conveyed a number of interesting interpretations of the causes and course of Britain's involvement in the First World War, and I found it thought-provoking, both historically and in terms of modest parallels. Given the impact of the First World War on Britain both financially and psychologically, your book is a timely reminder that we should pay more respect to the sacrifice of our forefathers.

Richard Hickson Oct 2019
Former British Cavalry Officer

Read more | Buy Now

Red Lightning - How The West Lost World War III To China in 2025

Since the end of the Cold War the majority of the populations of the West have lived with the assumption that World War III (WWIII) would and could never take place. However, what if an aggressive and expansive hegemonic challenger believed that the combination of the West’s collapse in collective moral fibre and resolve, coupled with the use of powerful and decisive new weapons deployed en masse, could make WWIII winnable? This is the story of how the past ten years and next five years comprise the road to war in 2025 and the moment that China mounts surprise attacks on the free world. Red Lightning then precisely details how the PLAN wins WW3 in only a few days and ends the rule of democracy globally.

 A Very Plausible and Likely Outcome - If We Keep Ignoring The Signs.

Red Lightning describes the current trajectory for the Western World. As we see the super nations such as the USA and UK crumble, a huge power shift is taking place. Is this pathway inevitable? This succinct book shows how we are running out of time.

Andrew Pancholi, UK

Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now.

'Red Lightning' is fascinating and although the author describes it as a work of predictive fiction, most of it rings eerily true. More than anything Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now, before it's too late. 

It's not fiction but truth to state that China has played the long game, and thanks to the capitulation of depraved, venal Western leaders, they have won.

Read in full here.

Karen Harradine, UK

Read more | Buy Now

Dear Subscribers,

The Global Forecaster vaults have been opened back up all the way to the middle of June 2023! Having been closed for a time, anyone with a Gold-level subscription can now read David's Murrination Insights in full on the website going back over a year, that's over 200 articles. Arkite and Silver-level subscribers upgrade now to view all David's Murrination.

Image

Just some of the articles now available include:

Red Peril 23; The Infiltration of Britain and the West
The Cycle of Globalisation 1; The Link to Hegemony
The 108-112 Year Hegemonic War Cycle
K-Wave Entropy and Polarisation 1: The Theory
Britain Desperately Needs a Comprehensive Missile Shield; Part 1: Voices From WW2
How Do the Human Predators Xi and Putin View the West and Britain?
The Forgotten Value of Real Deterrence
Red Peril 34; The Breathtaking Magnitude of China's Global Ambitions
Another Prediction Proven Correct – 1: Chinese Innovation Dominance

Image

Christmas Book Offer

We're also running a great offer just in time for Christmas! Buy both Lions Led By Lions and Red Lightning to get 20% off.

Image

Lions Led By Lions

History is full of truths to be discovered. However, over the past one hundred years the greatest divergence between a story told and its reality is that of the British Expeditionary Force (BEF) during World War I.

Although popular opinion suggests that the British generals just kept battering away at the German lines in the same old fashion, with the same old results, the truth was very different.

Lions Led By Lions. Is such a good read that it should fly off the shelves in the season when we settle down to a good read on Boxing Day

Peter Harvey Dec 2019
Military Enthusiast

I thoroughly enjoyed reading Lions Led By Lions. It concisely conveyed a number of interesting interpretations of the causes and course of Britain's involvement in the First World War, and I found it thought-provoking, both historically and in terms of modest parallels. Given the impact of the First World War on Britain both financially and psychologically, your book is a timely reminder that we should pay more respect to the sacrifice of our forefathers.

Richard Hickson Oct 2019
Former British Cavalry Officer

Read more | Buy Now

Red Lightning - How The West Lost World War III To China in 2025

Since the end of the Cold War the majority of the populations of the West have lived with the assumption that World War III (WWIII) would and could never take place. However, what if an aggressive and expansive hegemonic challenger believed that the combination of the West’s collapse in collective moral fibre and resolve, coupled with the use of powerful and decisive new weapons deployed en masse, could make WWIII winnable? This is the story of how the past ten years and next five years comprise the road to war in 2025 and the moment that China mounts surprise attacks on the free world. Red Lightning then precisely details how the PLAN wins WW3 in only a few days and ends the rule of democracy globally.

 A Very Plausible and Likely Outcome - If We Keep Ignoring The Signs.

Red Lightning describes the current trajectory for the Western World. As we see the super nations such as the USA and UK crumble, a huge power shift is taking place. Is this pathway inevitable? This succinct book shows how we are running out of time.

Andrew Pancholi, UK

Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now.

'Red Lightning' is fascinating and although the author describes it as a work of predictive fiction, most of it rings eerily true. More than anything Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now, before it's too late. 

It's not fiction but truth to state that China has played the long game, and thanks to the capitulation of depraved, venal Western leaders, they have won.

Read in full here.

Karen Harradine, UK

Read more | Buy Now

Dear Arkite,

We're running a great offer just in time for Christmas! Buy both Lions Led By Lions and Red Lightning to get 20% off.

Image

Lions Led By Lions

History is full of truths to be discovered. However, over the past one hundred years the greatest divergence between a story told and its reality is that of the British Expeditionary Force (BEF) during World War I.

Although popular opinion suggests that the British generals just kept battering away at the German lines in the same old fashion, with the same old results, the truth was very different.

Lions Led By Lions. Is such a good read that it should fly off the shelves in the season when we settle down to a good read on Boxing Day

Peter Harvey Dec 2019
Military Enthusiast

I thoroughly enjoyed reading Lions Led By Lions. It concisely conveyed a number of interesting interpretations of the causes and course of Britain's involvement in the First World War, and I found it thought-provoking, both historically and in terms of modest parallels. Given the impact of the First World War on Britain both financially and psychologically, your book is a timely reminder that we should pay more respect to the sacrifice of our forefathers.

Richard Hickson Oct 2019
Former British Cavalry Officer

Read more | Buy Now

Red Lightning - How The West Lost World War III To China in 2025

Since the end of the Cold War the majority of the populations of the West have lived with the assumption that World War III (WWIII) would and could never take place. However, what if an aggressive and expansive hegemonic challenger believed that the combination of the West’s collapse in collective moral fibre and resolve, coupled with the use of powerful and decisive new weapons deployed en masse, could make WWIII winnable? This is the story of how the past ten years and next five years comprise the road to war in 2025 and the moment that China mounts surprise attacks on the free world. Red Lightning then precisely details how the PLAN wins WW3 in only a few days and ends the rule of democracy globally.

 A Very Plausible and Likely Outcome - If We Keep Ignoring The Signs.

Red Lightning describes the current trajectory for the Western World. As we see the super nations such as the USA and UK crumble, a huge power shift is taking place. Is this pathway inevitable? This succinct book shows how we are running out of time.

Andrew Pancholi, UK

Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now.

'Red Lightning' is fascinating and although the author describes it as a work of predictive fiction, most of it rings eerily true. More than anything Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now, before it's too late. 

It's not fiction but truth to state that China has played the long game, and thanks to the capitulation of depraved, venal Western leaders, they have won.

Read in full here.

Karen Harradine, UK

Read more | Buy Now

Image

Watch a segment of David's latest talk

For over two decades, David Murrin has captivated audiences worldwide with his remarkable ability to predict future trends and global events. Renowned as a polymath and visionary, David’s groundbreaking work integrates the complexities of human behavior, geopolitics, and financial markets into actionable insights. As an acclaimed author, speaker, and strategist, he empowers decision-makers to navigate the uncertainties of today’s rapidly changing world.

Drawing on his expertise as a seismologist, hedge fund manager, and geopolitical theorist, David has honed unique models of human systems to predict patterns and trends with astonishing accuracy. His seminal book, Breaking the Code of History (2009), anticipated many of the transformative changes shaping our world today, from the decline of Western hegemony to the rise of China. Guided by Churchill’s timeless maxim, “The farther back you can look, the farther forward you are likely to see,” David’s deep understanding of historical cycles enables him to illuminate pathways to the future.

Image

David’s career journey—from studying physics and geophysics, to advising governments and corporations—has been fueled by a relentless curiosity to decode the forces that shape our collective destinies. As a speaker, he combines historical insights with practical roadmaps, helping leaders in business, defense, and finance anticipate and adapt to emerging challenges. His unique Five Phase Life Cycle of Empire framework provides a powerful lens through which to understand the dynamics of nations, markets, and institutions.

David continues to offer unparalleled expertise in predicting market movements and geopolitical shifts. With a focus on the ongoing contest between democracy and autocracy, he sheds light on China’s challenge to American dominance and its implications for global stability.

Image

David Murrin’s keynotes are a compelling blend of thought-provoking analysis and practical wisdom. Whether addressing corporate leaders, policymakers, or international organizations, his presentations inspire action, challenge assumptions, and offer clarity in an age of disruption.

Watch a segment of David's latest talk or book David here.

Dear Arkite,

Watch my latest interview now!

David Murrin joins Jonathan for an UnWoke conversation. The global economy, wars, History, England, U.S., personality types... there's something here for everyone!

We hope you enjoy the conversation as much as we do!

Image

Watch Now

Image

In other news the brilliant James Holland agrees with me, on the @WeHaveWaysPod podcast:

Image

to make defence a national priority and increase spending to 5% of GDP. I published Now Or Never; The Global Forecaster UK Strategic Defence Review in 2020, download it here or purchase a hardcopy:

Image