Arkite Alerts Archive

Dear Arkite,

Listen now to my latest interview on Palisades Gold Radio:

Tom Bodrovics, Palisades Gold Radio, welcomes back global forecaster and author David Murrin to discuss the significance of historical understanding for predicting complex geopolitical events and avoiding future conflicts. Murrin shares his belief in the repetition of historical patterns due to human unconsciousness, emphasizing the importance of studying history from multiple perspectives. He believes that the current geopolitical situation between the West and China/Russia could lead to World War Three, highlighting historical cycles as potential catalysts for conflict.

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Talking Points From This Episode

• David Murrin stresses historical patterns' repetition and their role in predicting geopolitical conflicts.
• He identifies five stages of empires and warns about China's economic instability and military expansion.
• Murrin advocates understanding war blindness, lateral thinking, and historical cycles to prevent future conflicts.

Listen Now

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Dear Arkite,

Season 5 of my podcast, The State Of It, is back, and you can listen now!

"In the first episode of Season 5, David and Horatio talk about the current state of the world during a tough and confusing time where much too much is going on. Get a better understanding of what's really happening in the world. We cover Trump, Tariffs, Greenland, the Gulf of Mexico, Israel and Gaza, Climate Change, China, nuclear power and much more."

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Listen Now!

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Dear Arkite,

Listen now to my latest interview on the Macrocast by Forbes Tate Partners:

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In this episode, the Macrocast team is joined by global forecaster and author David Murrin. Using Murrin’s international relations theories as a framework for analysis, they take a macro-level view of the U.S. economy and its role in a shifting global order. The discussion explores whether the U.S. is in decline, the impact of global conflict—from the Middle East to Ukraine—and the role of debt. The episode concludes with insights from December’s job market data.

Listen Now

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Dear Arkite,

Today, the journey to disclosure and greater global UAP awareness is building momentum. Watch my interview with Catherine Cashmore of Land Cycle Investor to find out more:

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The recently released book Imminent by Luis Elizondo exposes the incredible evidence outlined by a key government insider turned whistleblower, which is a game changer for humanity. Additionally, a further area of interest is that we note the correlation between UAPs, war, and nuclear weapons, which crosses over into the domain of the unfolding of WW3 in the current entropic pulse into 2030. In addition, the potential duration and scale of the UAP cover-up goes to the heart of the Nature of Western democratic Governments."

Our discussion is a fascinating one – and to my knowledge, the only interview David has done solely on the subject. As David stresses, it is time to move beyond merely asking, "Are they real?" Instead, we should consider deeper, more urgent questions, such as:

• How much do the US and other governments know?
• How long have UFOs been visiting Earth?
• What is the connection between UFOs and nuclear weapons?
• What are the unique technological capabilities of UFOs?
• Where could UFOs come from?
• Has there been a sustained cover-up of UFO activity?
• Do UFOs operate under a policy of interference or non-interference in human affairs?
• What are USOs (Unidentified Submersible Objects) doing under our oceans?
• Have we already had close encounters?
• Would disclosure trigger the biggest cultural shift in human history?
• Why are they here?

Watch Now 

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Dear Arkite,

Happy New Year! Let's start the year with my latest interview with Ron William of the Foundation for the Study of Cycles:

"FSC Development Director Ron William recently interviewed David Murrin, a polymath known for his blog Murrinations. His career has focussed on recurring patterns of history and using them to try and predict the future for markets and society in turbulent times. David’s advisory and speaking work is based on his direct investment experience combined with a framework that can be used to explain and qualify decisions within an investment team, aid risk assessment, and reduce biases in collective investment decisions.

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Ron William, CFTe, is a market strategist and educator/mentor with more than 20 years of experience working for leading economic research and institutional firms. At his market advisory firm (RWA), his work gained industry recognition, and his market insights are featured regularly in financial media and industry publications. William is the FSC's Development Director."

Watch Now

Feedback

Really enjoyed the interview, definitely some golden nuggets in there and made me think of a few correlations I hadn't thought about before.
@conormcg8702

The Russian K Wave has it. Mike Maloney’s stages of empire, Fourth Turning etc. Always good to hear from Mr Murrin. Especially his conversation with Grant Williams. Best conversation I’ve listened to I think forever-the one with Grant. Need better thinkers here in the UK. We simply need this kind of stuff going more mainstream tbh.
@karimpaulrajan6682 

Great guest😊
@AussieCarnivoreRunner 

David is truly a great intellect.
@elliskaranikolaou2550 

Talk about a casually delivered way to scare the holy crap out of you. Great interview. scary conclusions.
@jobob47

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As we approach this festive season, I wish you and your loved ones peace, joy, and renewed optimism as you face the significant challenges ahead.

Christmas is a time to pause and reflect on the year that has passed and the opportunities that lie ahead. In a world of entropic change, I believe that, based on my theory of human anti-entropy, love, unity, adaptability, innovation, and resilience, underpinned by hope, guide us forward to the light.

In the face of challenges, we are reminded of the strength found in family and community, which gives us the courage to face darkness and embrace transformation.

Most importantly, let the spirit of Christmas inspire gratitude for all we have and are in this moment.

Fueling a new determination to meet the future with open hearts and minds.

May this season bring you love, clarity, compassion, and the resolve to turn uncertainty into opportunity, lighting the path to a brighter and more prosperous year ahead.

Wishing you a very Merry Christmas and a New Year filled with hope, health, and endless possibilities.

With warmest regards,

David Murrin
Global Forecaster

Dear Arkite,

I took part in Southbank Research Gold Summit 2025, and I can share with you exclusive access to my interview below:

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A who’s who of world renowned gold investors, experts and insiders:

I have pulled out all the stops to bring together investors and experts who are going to give you deep insight into the gold market.

Not the old news you see in the papers. Not the rumours you read online. But real market intelligence.

All told, you’ll be getting more than 125 years’ worth of combined gold investing wisdom and acumen.

And they are going to speak in plain English, no jargon or insider speak…

They all have one clear purpose: to help you understand why now is such a make-or-break time for anyone with money in gold, stocks, property or plain old savings in the bank.

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David Murrin on We Are Already in World War III

David Murrin is a geopolitical forecaster, advisor, and author with over three decades of experience. Transitioning to finance from an early career in oil exploration, Murrin joined JP Morgan, where he founded the European Market Analysis Group. He later co-founded Emergent Asset Management and authored Breaking the Code of History, offering insights into historical patterns that predict future geopolitical and market trends.

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The Spotlight series is designed to introduce highly successful, unusual and – in many cases – idiosyncratic providers of independent research, data, tools and thinking. The third spotlight in the series introduces a seismologist-turned-trader, highly successful author and fund manager with a 20-plus year track record of successful geopolitical calls and significant alpha generation.

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Read the article in full

Dear Arkite,

Treat yourself this Christmas! Buy both Lions Led By Lions and Red Lightning and get 20% off.

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Lions Led By Lions

History is full of truths to be discovered. However, over the past one hundred years the greatest divergence between a story told and its reality is that of the British Expeditionary Force (BEF) during World War I.

Although popular opinion suggests that the British generals just kept battering away at the German lines in the same old fashion, with the same old results, the truth was very different.

Lions Led By Lions. Is such a good read that it should fly off the shelves in the season when we settle down to a good read on Boxing Day

Peter Harvey Dec 2019
Military Enthusiast

I thoroughly enjoyed reading Lions Led By Lions. It concisely conveyed a number of interesting interpretations of the causes and course of Britain's involvement in the First World War, and I found it thought-provoking, both historically and in terms of modest parallels. Given the impact of the First World War on Britain both financially and psychologically, your book is a timely reminder that we should pay more respect to the sacrifice of our forefathers.

Richard Hickson Oct 2019
Former British Cavalry Officer

Read more | Buy Now

Red Lightning - How The West Lost World War III To China in 2025

Since the end of the Cold War the majority of the populations of the West have lived with the assumption that World War III (WWIII) would and could never take place. However, what if an aggressive and expansive hegemonic challenger believed that the combination of the West’s collapse in collective moral fibre and resolve, coupled with the use of powerful and decisive new weapons deployed en masse, could make WWIII winnable? This is the story of how the past ten years and next five years comprise the road to war in 2025 and the moment that China mounts surprise attacks on the free world. Red Lightning then precisely details how the PLAN wins WW3 in only a few days and ends the rule of democracy globally.

 A Very Plausible and Likely Outcome - If We Keep Ignoring The Signs.

Red Lightning describes the current trajectory for the Western World. As we see the super nations such as the USA and UK crumble, a huge power shift is taking place. Is this pathway inevitable? This succinct book shows how we are running out of time.

Andrew Pancholi, UK

Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now.

'Red Lightning' is fascinating and although the author describes it as a work of predictive fiction, most of it rings eerily true. More than anything Murrin's book is an urgent warning which needs to be read now, before it's too late. 

It's not fiction but truth to state that China has played the long game, and thanks to the capitulation of depraved, venal Western leaders, they have won.

Read in full here.

Karen Harradine, UK

Read more | Buy Now

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1.     Do you have the in-house skills to predict the market's responses as events escalate into a global war?

2.     Have you appreciated that the current conflict-escalating dynamics, which are taking place against the rising entropy of the K-wave into 2030, make de-escalation highly unlikely?

3.     Are you in denial in a state of war blindness? Much as in July 1914, we are now in an unstoppable chain reaction to a full-blown regional war in the Middle East. Yet the majority of the population of the democratic world is in total denial as to the scale of the disaster ahead.

4.     Have you accounted for the Delusional market behaviour? Similar to July 1914, the world and markets are in denial in a state of war blindness. Hence, we are not seeing reality reflected in markets. But remember, after the assignation of Archduke Ferdinand in 1914, the markets went sideways for a month, then when the first shot was fired, UK bonds fell 50%! To survive this situation, we must all shake off our shock and be prepared for the worst while only hoping for the best! So, re-read:

5.     Are you prepared for a massive oil price shock? The key immediate economic ramification will be the massive rally in oil to $150, and over the next few years $250, as the Gulf is closed to traffic by Iran, which will be the driver behind market responses. Read; The Iran-Israel War Will Drive A Major Commodity Rally.

6.     Have you factored in that China could well Initiate its war with America. In line with our predictions of a total escalation into WW3, we see a high probability that China could commence its war with America as the Middle Eastern war escalates (see Red Peril 30; Ten Reasons Why Xi Will Go To War In 2024 and Red Peril 41. American War Blindness; Part 8 Vulnerability Exposed). A key reason is an oil shock that further weakens China's economy, forcing Xi into war rather than economic collapse (see Managing Investment Risk Into A War With China).

7.     Have you done the work? Can you afford not to integrate our perspectives into your investment starter?

· An Investment Strategy For WW3: Part 1

· An Investment Strategy for WW3: Part 2 – Market Behaviour During WW1

· An Investment Strategy for WW3: Part 3 – Market Behaviour During WW2

· An Investment Strategy for WW3: Part 4 – How To Preserve Wealth

If any of the above is absent from your investment scenarios, then you would be irresponsible not to subscribe to our Market-proven alpha generation models Financial Market Forecasts | David Murrin

ENGAGE DAVID | DAVID MURRIN

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