In this Palisades interview, Tom Bodrovics welcomes back hosts global forecaster David Murrin to delve into the differences between lateral and linear thinking in the context of current world conflicts. Murrin posits that empires cycle through phases of thinking, with laterals leading initially and linears taking control as empires mature. He attributes the current global climate to an unprecedented level of linear thinking due to sophisticated money printing over the past two decades, which has left societies inflexible to dynamic threats.
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Murrin further discusses geopolitical implications, particularly regarding the Houthis' actions in the Red Sea and its significance for American maritime hegemony. He raises concerns about China's involvement and advanced military capabilities, emphasizing the importance of maintaining control over critical sea lanes for wealth and resource extraction.
Murrin believes historical cycles of war could have been avoided with greater awareness and full-spectrum deterrence, aligning with the 112-year contractive cycle that has led to hegemonic conflicts throughout history.
David also shares his views on China's strategic intentions and resource acquisitions, arguing that China is not primarily concerned with wartime resource gathering but rather denying resources to the West. He points to Argentina as an example where Chinese interests were rejected, giving the West a foothold in the region. Murrin suggests Western engagement and political activism are necessary for regime change in countries with autocratic regimes.
He uses numerous price-based systems to understand various markets and sectors, predicting a decline in bond prices and increased inflation for commodities due to excess demand from fiat money. David sees the current situation as a commodity supercycle that affects the entire commodities complex and causes inflation for all physical resources. War contributes to inflation during these cycles. Murrin warns of impending wars, emphasizing the importance of adapting and strong leadership in response to threats.
Time Stamp References:
0:00 - Introduction
1:02 - Types of Thinking
6:20 - Shipping & Shrinking Empire
12:40 - Inevitable Conflict?
16:07 - China Growth & Cycles
20:37 - The Art of War
24:12 - BRICS & China
26:33 - Fentanyl Problem
28:10 - Results of Energy Tariffs
31:33 - Inflation & Central Banks
36:48 - Models & Mkt. Behaviour
38:32 - Bond Markets & Gold
42:40 - War & Inflation
43:53 - Important Developments
46:00 - War is Upon Us
49:01 - U.S. Navy & Defense
52:30 - Wrap Up
© David Murrin 2024. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |